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Biden has a strong lead in Wisconsin and a more in-depth lead in Pennsylvania: Reuters / Ipsos ballot

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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Democratic presidential candidate and former Vice President Joe Biden battles in Johnstown

By Jason Lange

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – President's Democratic challenger Joe Biden led President Donald Trump by a solid margin in Wisconsin and maintained a narrower edge in Pennsylvania with just over a week to election day, as did Reuters / Ipsos polls showed on Monday.

Reuters / Ipsos likely polls voters in six states – Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona – who will play a crucial role in deciding whether Trump wins a second term or whether Biden ousts him.

Below is a state-by-state look at Reuters / Ipsos results based on online responses from likely voters, including responses from some who cast ballots prior to the official November 3rd election day. The early vote has reached record levels in the coronavirus pandemic:

WISCONSIN (October 20-26):

* Vote for Biden: 53%

* Vote for Trump: 44%

* Biden's advantage is slightly larger than his 51% to 43% advantage in the previous week.

* 33% said they had already voted.

* 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 38% said Trump would be better.

* 47% said Trump was better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden was better.

PENNSYLVANIA (October 20-26):

* Vote for Biden: 50%

* Vote for Trump: 45%

* Biden's lead is slightly larger than the previous week, when it gained 49% to 45%, an advantage that was on the edge of the survey's credibility interval.

* 21% said they had already voted.

* 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.

* 50% said Trump was better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden was better.

FLORIDA (October 14th – October 20th)

* Vote for Biden: 50%

* Vote for Trump: 46%

* Biden's obvious lead is at the edge of the poll's credibility interval.

* Previous polls showed the two were essentially even, with Biden at 49% and Trump at 47%.

* 21% said they had already voted.

* 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.

* 51% said Trump was better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden was better.

ARIZONA (October 14-21):

* Vote for Biden: 49%

* Vote for Trump: 46%

* With the margin within the credibility interval of the survey, the race is statistically bound.

* Previous surveys found that Biden was 50% to 46% ahead of the poll's credibility interval.

* 27% said they had already voted.

* 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 43% said Trump would be better.

* 48% said Trump was better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden was better.

MICHIGAN (October 14-20):

* Vote for Biden: 51%

* Vote for Trump: 44%

* Biden was up 51% to 43% in the previous week.

* 28% said they had already voted.

* 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 40% said Trump would be better.

* 48% said Trump was better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden was better.

NORTH CAROLINA (October 14-20):

* Vote for Biden: 49%

* Vote for Trump: 46%

* Because the margin is within the poll's credibility interval, the race is statistically bound, like the previous poll when Biden had 48% versus Trump's 47%.

* 18% said they had already voted.

* 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 45% said Trump would be better.

* 51% said Trump was better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden was better.

REMARKS

Reuters / Ipsos polls are conducted online in all six states in English and in Spanish in Arizona and Florida.

* In Wisconsin, October 20-26, responses were collected from 1,008 adults, including 664 likely voters, and the credibility interval was 4 percentage points.

* In Pennsylvania, October 20-26, responses were collected from 1,001 adults, including 653 likely voters, and the confidence interval was 4 percentage points.

* In Florida, October 14-20, responses were collected from 1,005 adults, including 662 likely voters, and the credibility interval was 4 percentage points.

* In Arizona, October 14-21, responses were collected from 951 adults, including 658 likely voters, and the confidence interval was 4 percentage points.

* In Michigan, October 14-20, responses were collected from 1,001 adults, including 686 likely voters, and the credibility interval was 4 percentage points.

* In North Carolina, October 14-20, responses were collected from 1,001 adults, including 660 likely voters, and the credibility interval was 4 percentage points.

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Steven Gregory