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NFL picks, predictions towards the unfold for week 7

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When we did our NFL picks and predictions against the spread for week 6, there were some hard beats and some nice surprises. This is how the forecast roller coaster works, especially in an unusual, even more unpredictable season.

There are currently no week seven games being postponed so you can get a sense of normalcy to see how well each team is prepared for their matchups. But there is also this typical regression of the mean, where teams with high or below average records are balanced based on their true score.

Statistics of the week

Week 6 direct: 8-4

Week 6 versus the spread: 6-6

Direct season: 58-30

Season versus spread: 57-32

Here is our latest fearless prediction, based on the early Las Vegas lines and revised accordingly in case there are any major changes:

MORE: Week 7 NFL Power Rankings | Picks straight up

  • # 1

    AFC game of the week: Steelers (-2.5, 52.5 o / u) at Titans

    Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

    The Steelers defense plays very well against run and pass but has lost a key piece in linebacker Devin Bush. That said, they're still loaded into the Pass Rush, Defensive Line, and Secondary. The key to stopping the Titans lies in Derrick Henry as his presence also causes Ryan Tannehill to deliver a highly effective downfield game action passing game. Pittsburgh defeated Cleveland using the same formula. The Titans are also much weaker defensively and will have to contend with both James Conner's slowdown and the variety of playmakers surrounding Ben Roethlisberger.

    Choose: Steelers win 27-20 and cover the spread.

  • # 2

    Midweek game: Giants at Eagles (-6, 45 o / u)

    Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, Fox, NFL Network, and Amazon Prime Video

    The Giants have won their first win and the Eagles, with their draw against the Bengals, have only half a game to go. New York is absent from Saquon Barkley, Sterling Shepard and others to reach their offensive potential with Daniel Jones. Philadephia has been ravaged by injuries to Carson Wentz, and now the latest thing is to run back Miles Sanders and the tight Zach Ertz. The Eagles defense can still look Jones in the face and make it easier for Wentz with important takaaways. But the giants' defenses are overflowing and may keep this short week getaway game close.

    Choose: Eagles win 20-17 but cannot cover the spread.

  • # 3

    Castle of the week: saints (-7.5, 51 o / u) over panthers

    Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

    The Saints know Teddy Bridgewater well and will bring the appropriate lightning packages against him. They should also be healthier in secondary school to improve their passport defense. You are also improved in the passing game with Michael Thomas and can run well on the weakened front of the Panthers at will. No Christian McCaffrey for another week hurts here in the Superdome fast lane. Make sure that Alvin Kamara is in the spotlight and leading New Orleans to victory supported by some timely defensive games.

    Choose: Saints win 31-17 and cover the spread.

  • # 4

    Excited of the week: 49ers over patriots (-3.5, 45.5 o / u)

    Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

    The 49ers got healthier and won against the Rams. Your offense is to use unique skill players for creative game calls now that everyone is healthy. The Patriots' defense will focus on taking one thing away, but difficult to do as George Kittle, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk play interchangeably, physically, and quickly. Eight years ago the 49ers went to New England and won with Jim Harbaugh and Colin Kaepernick. Here's a similar result with Kyle Shanahan and former Patriots backup Jimmy Garoppolo. It's very hard to trust Cam Newton and the Patriots' offensive against a still solid 49ers defense.

    Choose: 49ers win 24-20

  • # 5

    Cowboys (-3, TBD o / u) with the Washington Football Team

    Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

    Andy Dalton will be fine on his first start for the Cowboys with a lot of help from Ezekiel Elliott in the game, and Washington won't be able to slow down its receivers on deep stretches. The Cowboys' defense will show that Kyle Allen has a life going on when working with a lead. Washington's limited guns also give a break from fighting coverage of cowboys.

    Choose: Cowboys win 27-17 and cover the spread.

  • # 6

    Bills (-11, TBD o / u) for jets

    Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

    At the moment, no line is big enough for the jets. They went through the motions to be eliminated 24-0 by the Dolphins in Week 6. The Bills will emerge from two tough in-conference matchups with the Titans and the Chiefs, to remind everyone that they are about to finally reign supreme in the AFC Eastern competition for the first time in a long time. Josh Allen has a second big game on the Jets and makes sure the Bills comfortably win again, like they did in Week 1.

    Choose: Bils win 34-20 and cover the spread.

  • # 7

    Packer (-3.56 o / u) at Texans

    Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

    The Packers want to forget about all the offensive troubles there were in Tampa, and a trip to Houston to face a Texan defense that can't stand the run or the pass is exactly what the Coordinator is looking for Get-Well game arranged. Aaron Rodgers will have a fun duel with Deshaun Watson while the Green Bay defenses will continue to fight on the streets. But in the end, they have more control over the game with Aaron Jones and the quick attack.

    Choose: Packers win 34-27 and cover the spread.

  • # 8th

    Browns (-3.5, 51.5 o / u) in Bengals

    Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

    The Browns held the Bengals back in Cleveland in Week 2 on a higher-scoring matter. That came from Baker Mayfield, who was beaten and fought another, more powerful AFC North opponent in the Ravens. You have to dig deep to respond well to the Steelers loss. Fortunately, they can keep it simple by making the ball go well with Kareem Hunt and including the barrel of Joe Mixon. Joe Burrow goes through yet another matchup at the Battle of Ohio as the Browns get back on the road to success by taking another game out of Mayfield's hands.

    Choose: Browns win 26-23 but cannot cover the spread.

  • # 9

    Lions with falcons (-3, 56.5 o / u)

    Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

    The Falcons were brought to life under interim coach Raheem Morris, sparked by the explosive return of their best player, wide receiver Julio Jones. Jones turned the entire passing game back on for Matt Ryan and now it's time to save a face at home. The Lions looked fine on the Jacksonville street with more of D & # 39; Andre Swift returning to Georgia to duel with former Bulldog colleague Todd Gurley. But with Jones, Calvin Ridley, and others, Ryan has more support than good friend Matthew Stafford, who is also returning to Georgia. This is a friendly shootout, but Atlanta has another head start while Detroit is also nearing split with its trainer Matt Patricia.

    Choose: Hawks win 38-34 and cover the spread.

  • # 10

    Seahawks (-3.5, TBD o / u) at Cardinals

    Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox

    The Seahawks will be saying goodbye, while the Cardinals will be returning home in a short week after playing the Cowboys in Dallas on Monday night. Seattle should get much healthier offensively and defensively. where Russell Wilson will have his full dexterity and blocking support and Jamal Adams should return to clean up for the defense. The Cardinals don't have their most effective defender, Chandler Jones, to put pressure on Wilson. Kyler Murray doesn't face worrying Seahawks strikers, but they'll play just enough with his receivers to ensure victory on another high-scoring affair.

    Choose: Seahawks win 31-27 and cover the spread.

  • # 11

    Jaguars on chargers (-8, 49 o / u)

    Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

    Gardner Minshew could hit a wall in sophomore year. It was a great story, but different types of defensive looks got through it. Facing a rested charger defense that can be mistaken for zoning schemes with Joey Bosa and a strong secondary school is not a formula for breaking out of a break-in. Rookie Justin Herbert, his old Pac-12 QB rival, has got off to a great start using all of his various weapons better than Minshew is at the moment.

    Choose: Chargers win 35-20 and cover the spread

  • # 12

    Bosses (-10, TBD o / u) at Broncos

    Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

    The Chiefs had a close call against the Chargers and lost to the Raiders. The first team did it on defense while the second team finished the job on offense. The Broncos in no way pose much of a barrier or resistance. Drew Lock's outbreak is delayed because he and others have been injured. The Broncos are good against the run, but the Chiefs' passing game with Patrick Mahomes will open things up all over the field and eventually set up Le & # 39; Veon Bell for immediate impact.

    Choose: Chiefs win 30-14 and cover the spread.

  • # 13

    Buccaneers (-3, 53.5 o / u) at Raiders

    Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

    Do you remember when Tom Brady allegedly went to the Raiders? Well, he found the right fit with the Buccaneers, while Derek Carr was aiming to come up with more efficient and explosive numbers in 2020. The Bucs' defense is deep and asserts itself with their strong run-stop and pass-rushing baseline. They put it offensively with Brady, and her solid race with Ronald Jones will continue to be a factor here. The Bucs defense is also built to include Carr's keywheels holding Josh Jacobs and Darren Waller back. Jones and the Bucs wideouts will have more success.

    Choose: Buccaneers win 34-27 and cover the spread.

  • # 14

    Bears at Rams (-6.5, TBD o / u)

    Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

    The bears play excellent pass defense due to Khalil Mack and secondary school. The Rams play an excellent pass defense because of Aaron Donald and the secondary. Both teams are vulnerable to the run and it comes down to who you can trust to hit the ball more effectively and which QB is less exposed to pressure as a result. It's a clear advantage for a restful Jared Goff with Darrell Henderson versus a shaky Nick Foles with David Montgomery. Bigger advantage, Sean McVay over Matt Nagy.

    Choose: Rams win 24-17 and cover the spread

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Steven Gregory